Alpha Signals provides data-driven economic and political forecasting by tracking fundamental drivers rather than surface noise. It uses proprietary metrics such as the Tocqueville Index for emotional political tension and the Gettysburg Index for polarization dynamics, delivering early insight into market and election movements for users who need the numbers first.
Funding
Funding not disclosed
Founders
Product
Problem
Market participants and political analysts rely on frequent news-driven polls that capture only short-term sentiment, leading to noisy forecasts and delayed insight into underlying economic and electoral shifts.
Solution
Alpha Signals delivers data-driven economic and political forecasts by focusing on deep, fundamental drivers rather than transient headlines. The platform conducts bi‑monthly, census‑balanced surveys of 1,000 respondents, using a conversational research style to elicit authentic reactions across emotions, finances, culture, and politics. From this data it derives two proprietary metrics—the Tocqueville Index, which quantifies emotional tension across the political spectrum, and the Gettysburg Index, which measures the dynamics of polarization. These indices are updated monthly and presented as concise outlook numbers, allowing clients to anticipate market movements and electoral outcomes before broader consensus forms.
Target Audience
Primary customers are financial institutions, investment managers, and political strategy firms that require early, quantitative signals of economic trends and electoral dynamics.
Features
- Bi‑monthly, nationally representative surveys of 1,000 participants drawn from a pool of over one million respondents
- Conversational questionnaire design that reduces respondent bias and captures authentic sentiment
- Comprehensive coverage of emotions, social connections, culture, finances, and politics for holistic insight
- Proprietary Tocqueville Index measuring emotional political tension across the spectrum
- Proprietary Gettysburg Index tracking the expansion and contraction of political polarization
- Monthly economic outlook reports that synthesize survey data into actionable forecast numbers
- Secure, cloud‑based delivery of forecasts and index updates to client dashboards