MetalAlert
MetalAlert provides commodity price intelligence for strategic purchasers of LME base metals, delivering calibrated probabilities of price moves at one- and three-month horizons. The platform compares future month average prices to current month averages, giving buyers odds of 2%, 5%, or 10% moves in either direction. Models are walk-forward validated against outcomes they never trained on, with per-metal calibration records published in the app.
- Data & Analytics
- Artificial Intelligence
- Software Only
Funding
Founders
Founder details are not available yet.
Product
Problem
Base-metal prices routinely swing 2–10% month to month, and a significant move can land before a buyer has covered volume, showing up as margin loss and budget variance that must be explained for quarters. The forward-buy window opens and closes quickly, and reacting after a price prints means the buyer has already paid for the move.
Solution
MetalAlert provides commodity price intelligence for strategic purchasers of LME base metals, delivering calibrated probabilities of price moves at one- and three-month horizons. The platform compares the future month's average price to the current month's average, giving buyers odds of a 2%, 5%, or 10% move in either direction, matching what they will actually pay around that date. Built on licensed institutional market data, including daily LME cash settlement prices and futures curves, the models are walk-forward validated against outcomes they never trained on, with a per-metal calibration record published in the app. Buyers use these probabilities to decide when to lock in forward volume, plan contracts and hedges, and enter negotiations with a defensible number. Email alerts are triggered at 30% probability or a 10-point jump, and the API enables system integration for pulling current signals and price history.
Target Audience
Primary users are category and commodity managers, strategic sourcing and procurement leads, and treasury teams that carry metal exposure and need defensible price-intelligence numbers for purchasing decisions.
Features
- Calibrated probability estimates for every LME base metal at one- and three-month horizons, for 2%, 5%, and 10% move thresholds
- Walk-forward validated models with per-metal track records viewable inside the app
- Licensed institutional market data feeds covering LME cash settlement prices, SHFE, LME and COMEX futures curves, plus macro and cross-market indicators
- Daily model refreshes after LME settlement with email alerts triggered at 30% probability or 10-point jumps
- Public research log documenting every model change, including failures
- REST API endpoints for current signals, historical probability snapshots, daily and monthly LME cash prices, and backtest results, with Excel Power Query integration